Quick Overview
Venous thromboembolism (VTE) encompasses deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE), affecting ~1-2/1000 annually in the UK. NICE NG158 (2020) provides evidence-based guidance on diagnosis, anticoagulation choice, and duration. Rapid risk stratification using Wells score and appropriate D-dimer interpretation prevents both missed diagnoses and unnecessary imaging.
Core Facts & Concepts
Wells Score for DVT (≥2 = DVT likely, <2 = DVT unlikely):
- Active cancer (+1), paralysis/immobilization (+1), bedridden >3 days/major surgery within 12 weeks (+1)
- Localized tenderness along deep veins (+1), entire leg swollen (+1)
- Calf swelling >3cm vs asymptomatic leg (+1), pitting oedema (+1)
- Collateral superficial veins (+1), alternative diagnosis as likely (-2)
Wells Score for PE (>4 = PE likely, ≤4 = PE unlikely):
- Clinical DVT signs (+3), PE most likely diagnosis (+3), heart rate >100 (+1.5)
- Immobilization/surgery in previous 4 weeks (+1.5), previous VTE (+1.5)
- Haemoptysis (+1), malignancy (+1)

D-dimer Interpretation:
- Use only if Wells score = "unlikely" (negative predictive value >99%)
- Age-adjusted threshold: age × 10 μg/L if >50 years (improves specificity)
- 📊 False positives: pregnancy, malignancy, infection, post-operative, elderly
Anticoagulation per NICE NG158:
- First-line: Apixaban or Rivaroxaban (DOACs) - no monitoring required
- Alternative DOACs: Edoxaban or Dabigatran (require initial LMWH for ≥5 days)
- Warfarin: Use if DOACs contraindicated (renal failure CrCl <15, antiphospholipid syndrome)

Problem-Solving Approach
Step-by-step VTE diagnosis:
- Calculate Wells score - determines imaging pathway
- If "unlikely": D-dimer → negative = stop; positive = imaging
- If "likely": Proceed directly to imaging (DVT: compression USS; PE: CTPA)
- Interim anticoagulation: Start immediately if imaging delayed >4 hours
Anticoagulation Duration (NICE NG158):
- Provoked VTE (surgery, trauma, oestrogen, pregnancy): 3 months
- Unprovoked VTE: 3-6 months, then reassess bleeding vs recurrence risk
- Active cancer: 3-6 months (consider extended with LMWH or DOAC)
- Recurrent unprovoked VTE: Consider lifelong anticoagulation
🚩 Red Flags for Extended Anticoagulation: Unprovoked proximal DVT/PE, recurrent VTE, antiphospholipid syndrome, active cancer
Thrombophilia Screening Indications (NICE NG158 does NOT routinely recommend):
- Consider only if: age <50, recurrent VTE, unusual site (mesenteric, cerebral), strong family history
- Tests: Factor V Leiden, Prothrombin G20210A, Protein C/S, Antithrombin, Antiphospholipid antibodies
Analysis Framework
| Feature | DOAC (Apixaban/Rivaroxaban) | Warfarin |
|---|---|---|
| Onset | 2-4 hours | 48-72 hours (requires heparin bridge) |
| Monitoring | None | INR target 2-3 (weekly then monthly) |
| Renal dosing | Avoid if CrCl <15 | Safe in severe renal failure |
| Reversal | Idarucizumab (dabigatran), Andexanet alfa (Xa inhibitors) | Vitamin K, PCC |
| Drug interactions | Fewer | Multiple (antibiotics, antifungals) |
| Pregnancy | Contraindicated | Teratogenic (use LMWH) |
| APS | Contraindicated | First-line |
DOAC vs Warfarin Selection:
- DOAC preferred unless: severe renal failure (CrCl <15), antiphospholipid syndrome, mechanical heart valves
- Warfarin if patient preference for monitoring or concerns about adherence/cost
Visual Aid
Key Points Summary
✓ Wells score determines pathway: "Unlikely" = D-dimer first; "Likely" = direct imaging (DVT: USS, PE: CTPA)
✓ Age-adjusted D-dimer (age × 10 μg/L if >50 years) reduces false positives in elderly without missing VTE
✓ NICE NG158 first-line: Apixaban or Rivaroxaban (no monitoring); reserve warfarin for CrCl <15 or antiphospholipid syndrome
✓ Duration: Provoked = 3 months; Unprovoked = 3-6 months then reassess; Cancer/recurrent = consider extended
✓ Thrombophilia screening NOT routine - only if age <50, recurrent VTE, unusual site, or strong family history
✓ Interim anticoagulation: Start immediately if imaging delayed >4 hours (prevents clot extension)
✓ Common pitfall: Using D-dimer in "likely" Wells score or high pre-test probability (leads to false reassurance if negative)
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