Cognitive biases in clinical reasoning

Cognitive biases in clinical reasoning

Cognitive biases in clinical reasoning

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Cognitive Biases - Thinking Traps

Systematic thinking errors affecting clinical judgment and diagnostic accuracy.

  • Anchoring Bias: Over-relying on initial information, like a previous diagnosis.
  • Availability Heuristic: Overestimating likelihood of diagnoses that are easily recalled (e.g., a recent, memorable case).
  • Confirmation Bias: Seeking information that supports a hypothesis while ignoring contradictory data.
  • Premature Closure: Accepting a diagnosis before it is fully verified, missing alternative possibilities.
  • Framing Effect: Decisions influenced by how information is presented (e.g., survival vs. mortality rates).

Metacognition ("thinking about one's thinking") is a key strategy to mitigate cognitive biases. Actively consider alternatives and seek disconfirming evidence to reduce diagnostic errors.

20 Cognitive Biases That Screw Up Your Decisions

Cognitive biases are systematic patterns of deviation from norm or rationality in judgment, often leading to diagnostic errors. Awareness is the first step to mitigation.

Bias TypeDescription & HeuristicClinical Example
AnchoringOver-relying on the first piece of information offered (the "anchor").A patient with a history of GERD presents with chest pain. The physician anchors on this history, delaying an EKG and missing an acute MI.
AvailabilityOverestimating the likelihood of events that are more easily recalled in memory.A physician who recently treated several cases of pulmonary embolism is more likely to suspect it in the next patient with pleuritic chest pain.
ConfirmationTendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information that confirms pre-existing beliefs.Ordering a specific test that will confirm a suspected diagnosis while ignoring tests that might refute it.
Framing EffectDrawing different conclusions from the same information, depending on how it is presented.A treatment described as having a "90% survival rate" is viewed more favorably than one with a "10% mortality rate," even though they are identical.
Premature ClosureAccepting a diagnosis before it has been fully verified. "Jumping to conclusions."Diagnosing a patient with a simple UTI based on dysuria and frequency, without considering a pelvic inflammatory disease in a sexually active young female.

Debiasing - Mental Armor

  • Metacognition: The core strategy. Involves actively reflecting on your own thought process. "Why do I think this? What evidence supports it?"
  • Cognitive Forcing Strategies: Conscious effort to correct for potential bias.
    • Consider alternatives: Actively ask, "What else could this be?" to counter anchoring and confirmation bias.
    • Slowing down: Deliberately engage analytical (System 2) thinking, especially in complex or atypical cases.
  • External Aids:
    • Utilize checklists and clinical guidelines to minimize errors.
    • Seek a second opinion to challenge your diagnostic assumptions.

Metacognition is the most effective, broadly applicable strategy to mitigate cognitive errors in diagnosis. It involves stepping back and examining the reasoning process itself.

  • Anchoring bias is over-relying on the first piece of information obtained.
  • Availability heuristic involves favoring diagnoses that are easily recalled, like a recent memorable case.
  • Confirmation bias is the tendency to seek and favor data that supports a preconceived diagnosis.
  • Premature closure means accepting a diagnosis before it is fully verified, increasing misdiagnosis risk.
  • The framing effect is when decisions are influenced by how information is presented (e.g., survival vs. mortality rates).

Practice Questions: Cognitive biases in clinical reasoning

Test your understanding with these related questions

A researcher is studying whether a new knee implant is better than existing alternatives in terms of pain after knee replacement. She designs the study so that it includes all the surgeries performed at a certain hospital. Interestingly, she notices that patients who underwent surgeries on Mondays and Thursdays reported much better pain outcomes on a survey compared with those who underwent the same surgeries from the same surgeons on Tuesdays and Fridays. Upon performing further analysis, she discovers that one of the staff members who works on Mondays and Thursdays is aware of the study and tells all the patients about how wonderful the new implant is. Which of the following forms of bias does this most likely represent?

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Flashcards: Cognitive biases in clinical reasoning

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What effect does the hand grip maneuver have on the intensity of MR, AR, and VSD murmurs?_____

TAP TO REVEAL ANSWER

What effect does the hand grip maneuver have on the intensity of MR, AR, and VSD murmurs?_____

Increased intensity

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