Follow-up methods

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Follow-Up Fundamentals - Keeping Tabs on Cohorts

  • Primary Goal: Maximize participant retention over the study period to minimize attrition bias. Incomplete follow-up can compromise the validity of the study.
  • Effective Strategies:
    • Collect comprehensive contact information at baseline (e.g., multiple phone numbers, email, address, and contact details of close relatives).
    • Maintain periodic contact with participants through newsletters, holiday cards, or updates on study progress to foster goodwill and engagement.
    • Utilize national databases, such as the National Death Index (NDI), to ascertain the vital status of participants who cannot be reached.

⭐ Loss to follow-up can introduce significant attrition bias. A follow-up rate of >80% is generally required for a cohort study to be considered valid, though rates <5% are ideal.

The Tracker's Toolkit - Minimizing Dropouts

  • Loss to Follow-Up (Attrition): Occurs when participants who leave a study are systematically different from those who remain, introducing attrition bias, a type of selection bias.

  • Core Strategies to Maximize Retention:

    • Enrollment Phase:
      • Collect extensive contact information (multiple phones, emails, addresses, and contacts of relatives/friends).
      • Clearly explain study expectations and obtain informed consent, fostering a sense of partnership.
      • Offer non-coercive incentives (e.g., gift cards, summary of results).
    • Follow-Up Phase:
      • Maintain regular, periodic contact (newsletters, birthday cards, update calls).
      • Be flexible with scheduling follow-up appointments.
      • Utilize national databases (e.g., National Death Index) or registries to track vital status.

⭐ If loss to follow-up exceeds 20%, the study's validity is seriously questioned. Differential loss between exposed and unexposed groups can dramatically skew the Relative Risk (RR) or Odds Ratio (OR).

📌 Mnemonic (TRACE):

  • Track regularly
  • Remind & Reinforce importance
  • Accessible contact
  • Collect multiple contacts
  • Engage with incentives

Attrition Bias - The Validity Threat

  • Definition: A systematic error from unequal loss of participants in a cohort study (differential attrition). Occurs when dropouts differ systematically from those who remain.

    • This loss is related to both the exposure (e.g., side effects) and the outcome (e.g., disease severity).
    • Primarily threatens internal validity, creating non-equivalent groups for comparison.
  • High-Risk Threshold: Loss to follow-up >20% is a major red flag for study validity.

  • Mechanism of Bias:

⭐ Attrition bias can make an intervention appear more or less effective than it truly is by selectively removing certain outcomes from the final analysis.

  • Mitigation:
    • Intention-to-Treat (ITT) Analysis: "Analyze as randomized." Keeps dropouts in their original groups for analysis.
    • Sensitivity Analysis: Test how different assumptions about the lost data affect the final results.

High‑Yield Points - ⚡ Biggest Takeaways

  • The primary goal is minimizing loss to follow-up (LTFU) to prevent attrition bias.
  • Differential loss between groups is a major threat, introducing selection bias and compromising validity.
  • Key strategies include using multiple contact methods, maintaining regular communication, and collecting detailed baseline contact info.
  • A high LTFU rate, often >20%, seriously threatens a study's internal validity.
  • The bias is most severe when dropouts are related to both the exposure and the outcome.
  • Intention-to-treat (ITT) analysis can help mitigate the statistical impact of participant loss.

Practice Questions: Follow-up methods

Test your understanding with these related questions

A researcher is studying whether a new knee implant is better than existing alternatives in terms of pain after knee replacement. She designs the study so that it includes all the surgeries performed at a certain hospital. Interestingly, she notices that patients who underwent surgeries on Mondays and Thursdays reported much better pain outcomes on a survey compared with those who underwent the same surgeries from the same surgeons on Tuesdays and Fridays. Upon performing further analysis, she discovers that one of the staff members who works on Mondays and Thursdays is aware of the study and tells all the patients about how wonderful the new implant is. Which of the following forms of bias does this most likely represent?

1 of 5

Flashcards: Follow-up methods

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Which type of observational study can be retro- or prospective? _____

TAP TO REVEAL ANSWER

Which type of observational study can be retro- or prospective? _____

Cohort study

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